Top Ideas record
Every trading day we score each stock that fired one of our screens, based on backtested hit rate, average move, sample size and how many screens agree. Here are the top 3 each day and what actually happened next.
Avg after 1 day
+0.18%
49% up · n=87
Avg after 2 days
+0.78%
54% up · n=84
Avg after 5 days
+2.26%
55% up · n=75
Rule: the top 3 tickers each trading day by our Fire Picks score, every day from Sep 1 to Oct 13, losers included. Forward returns are close-to-close from the signal day (prices through Oct 13); "pending" until enough sessions have passed. Tickers stay hidden for 10 trading days, then are revealed. Ideas before Oct 12 are backfilled: today's rule applied to past signals (live logging started Oct 12). No fees or slippage. Research watchlist, not recommendations. Educational only, not financial advice.
Idea1d2d5d
2026-10-13
Idea #1 · ████ · 10% Weekly Drop
Signal Oct 13 close · score 31.15
pending
5d
pending
pending
pending
1d pending · 2d pending
Idea #2 · ████ · 10% Weekly Drop
Signal Oct 13 close · score 28.16
pending
5d
pending
pending
pending
1d pending · 2d pending
Idea #3 · ████ · 10% Weekly Drop
Signal Oct 13 close · score 24.36
pending
5d
pending
pending
pending
1d pending · 2d pending
2026-10-12
Idea #1 · ████ · 10% Weekly Drop
Signal Oct 12 close · score 26.55
pending
5d
+2.49%
pending
pending
1d +2.49% · 2d pending
Idea #2 · ████ · 10% Weekly Drop
Signal Oct 12 close · score 25
pending
5d
+1.75%
pending
pending
1d +1.75% · 2d pending
Idea #3 · ████ · 10% Weekly Drop
Signal Oct 12 close · score 22.03
pending
5d
-0.34%
pending
pending
1d -0.34% · 2d pending
2026-10-09
Idea #1 · ████ · RSI(14) Oversold
Signal Oct 9 close · score 26.33
pending
5d
+2.71%
+4.51%
pending
1d +2.71% · 2d +4.51%
Idea #2 · ████ · RSI(14) Oversold
Signal Oct 9 close · score 26.33
pending
5d
+2.21%
+3.47%
pending
1d +2.21% · 2d +3.47%
Idea #3 · ████ · RSI(14) Oversold
Signal Oct 9 close · score 26.33
pending
5d
+1.40%
+3.02%
pending
1d +1.40% · 2d +3.02%
2026-10-08
Idea #1 · ████ · 10% Weekly Drop
Signal Oct 8 close · score 18.23
pending
5d
-2.22%
-5.35%
pending
1d -2.22% · 2d -5.35%
Idea #2 · ████ · RSI(14) Oversold
Signal Oct 8 close · score 16.69
pending
5d
+0.41%
+0.87%
pending
1d +0.41% · 2d +0.87%
Idea #3 · ████ · RSI(14) Oversold
Signal Oct 8 close · score 16.69
pending
5d
-0.28%
+0.10%
pending
1d -0.28% · 2d +0.10%
2026-10-07
Idea #1 · ████ · Gap Down Reversal
Signal Oct 7 close · score 20.16
pending
5d
-4.60%
+0.74%
pending
1d -4.60% · 2d +0.74%
Idea #2 · ████ · RSI(14) Oversold
Signal Oct 7 close · score 19.61
pending
5d
+0.62%
-0.01%
pending
1d +0.62% · 2d -0.01%
Idea #3 · ████ · 10% Weekly Drop
Signal Oct 7 close · score 18.8
pending
5d
+4.39%
+3.04%
pending
1d +4.39% · 2d +3.04%
2026-10-06
Idea #1 · ████ · RSI(14) Oversold
Signal Oct 6 close · score 17.11
+0.32%
5d
-0.87%
+0.08%
+0.32%
1d -0.87% · 2d +0.08%
Idea #2 · ████ · Unusual Volume Up Day
Signal Oct 6 close · score 16.74
+1.16%
5d
+3.88%
-2.72%
+1.16%
1d +3.88% · 2d -2.72%
Idea #3 · ████ · RSI(14) Oversold
Signal Oct 6 close · score 16.69
-1.75%
5d
-1.67%
-2.27%
-1.75%
1d -1.67% · 2d -2.27%
2026-10-05
Idea #1 · ████ · RSI(14) Oversold
Signal Oct 5 close · score 24.45
+4.27%
5d
+0.73%
+2.18%
+4.27%
1d +0.73% · 2d +2.18%
Idea #2 · ████ · Gap Down Reversal
Signal Oct 5 close · score 21.88
-0.61%
5d
-3.95%
-3.86%
-0.61%
1d -3.95% · 2d -3.86%
Idea #3 · ████ · RSI(14) Oversold
Signal Oct 5 close · score 20.65
+0.58%
5d
+0.85%
-0.95%
+0.58%
1d +0.85% · 2d -0.95%
2026-10-02
Idea #1 · ████ · 10% Weekly Drop
Signal Oct 2 close · score 27.48
+0.96%
5d
+4.29%
+5.17%
+0.96%
1d +4.29% · 2d +5.17%
Idea #2 · ████ · RSI(14) Oversold
Signal Oct 2 close · score 26.27
+2.48%
5d
+0.27%
+2.19%
+2.48%
1d +0.27% · 2d +2.19%
Idea #3 · ████ · 10% Weekly Drop
Signal Oct 2 close · score 25.88
+3.29%
5d
+5.13%
+3.94%
+3.29%
1d +5.13% · 2d +3.94%
2026-10-01
Idea #1 · ████ · 10% Weekly Drop
Signal Oct 1 close · score 29.2
+6.90%
5d
-0.08%
+4.21%
+6.90%
1d -0.08% · 2d +4.21%
Idea #2 · ████ · RSI(14) Oversold
Signal Oct 1 close · score 23.57
-0.21%
5d
+1.03%
-0.12%
-0.21%
1d +1.03% · 2d -0.12%
Idea #3 · ████ · Unusual Volume Up Day
Signal Oct 1 close · score 21.34
-1.86%
5d
-6.31%
-8.13%
-1.86%
1d -6.31% · 2d -8.13%
2026-09-30
Idea #1 · ████ · 10% Weekly Drop
Signal Sep 30 close · score 25.88
+15.07%
5d
+11.69%
+11.61%
+15.07%
1d +11.69% · 2d +11.61%
Idea #2 · ████ · RSI(14) Oversold
Signal Sep 30 close · score 24.45
+3.26%
5d
+2.22%
+3.06%
+3.26%
1d +2.22% · 2d +3.06%
Idea #3 · ████ · 10% Weekly Drop
Signal Sep 30 close · score 23.54
+1.68%
5d
+1.04%
-0.14%
+1.68%
1d +1.04% · 2d -0.14%
2026-09-29
Idea #1 · FICO · 10% Weekly Drop
Signal Sep 29 close · score 35.52 · revealed after 10 days
+12.56%
5d
-4.11%
+7.10%
+12.56%
1d -4.11% · 2d +7.10%
Idea #2 · MGM · 10% Weekly Drop
Signal Sep 29 close · score 25.88 · revealed after 10 days
-3.11%
5d
-1.49%
-3.33%
-3.11%
1d -1.49% · 2d -3.33%
Idea #3 · GEN · 10% Weekly Drop
Signal Sep 29 close · score 25.88 · revealed after 10 days
+9.35%
5d
+5.61%
+6.71%
+9.35%
1d +5.61% · 2d +6.71%
2026-09-28
Idea #1 · MGM · 10% Weekly Drop
Signal Sep 28 close · score 25.88 · revealed after 10 days
-5.30%
5d
-1.07%
-2.54%
-5.30%
1d -1.07% · 2d -2.54%
Idea #2 · GEN · 10% Weekly Drop
Signal Sep 28 close · score 25.88 · revealed after 10 days
+6.86%
5d
0.00%
+5.61%
+6.86%
1d 0.00% · 2d +5.61%
Idea #3 · INTU · 10% Weekly Drop
Signal Sep 28 close · score 25 · revealed after 10 days
+5.67%
5d
-0.51%
+2.34%
+5.67%
1d -0.51% · 2d +2.34%
2026-09-25
Idea #1 · MGM · 10% Weekly Drop
Signal Sep 25 close · score 29.34 · revealed after 10 days
-6.45%
5d
-2.21%
-3.25%
-6.45%
1d -2.21% · 2d -3.25%
Idea #2 · GEN · 10% Weekly Drop
Signal Sep 25 close · score 29.34 · revealed after 10 days
+1.71%
5d
-3.56%
-3.56%
+1.71%
1d -3.56% · 2d -3.56%
Idea #3 · PAYX · 10% Weekly Drop
Signal Sep 25 close · score 25.88 · revealed after 10 days
-2.40%
5d
-2.04%
-2.03%
-2.40%
1d -2.04% · 2d -2.03%
2026-09-24
Idea #1 · MGM · 10% Weekly Drop
Signal Sep 24 close · score 35.52 · revealed after 10 days
-9.56%
5d
-3.29%
-5.43%
-9.56%
1d -3.29% · 2d -5.43%
Idea #2 · GEN · 10% Weekly Drop
Signal Sep 24 close · score 29.34 · revealed after 10 days
-3.55%
5d
-6.29%
-9.62%
-3.55%
1d -6.29% · 2d -9.62%
Idea #3 · PAYX · 10% Weekly Drop
Signal Sep 24 close · score 25.88 · revealed after 10 days
-0.74%
5d
-0.22%
-2.25%
-0.74%
1d -0.22% · 2d -2.25%
2026-09-23
Idea #1 · PAYX · 10% Weekly Drop
Signal Sep 23 close · score 39.82 · revealed after 10 days
-5.73%
5d
-2.77%
-2.99%
-5.73%
1d -2.77% · 2d -2.99%
Idea #2 · ALL · 10% Weekly Drop
Signal Sep 23 close · score 33.64 · revealed after 10 days
-1.68%
5d
+0.67%
+0.86%
-1.68%
1d +0.67% · 2d +0.86%
Idea #3 · ABNB · 10% Weekly Drop
Signal Sep 23 close · score 33.3 · revealed after 10 days
+7.40%
5d
+1.21%
+5.27%
+7.40%
1d +1.21% · 2d +5.27%
2026-09-22
Idea #1 · ALL · 10% Weekly Drop
Signal Sep 22 close · score 37.1 · revealed after 10 days
-1.78%
5d
-1.67%
-1.01%
-1.78%
1d -1.67% · 2d -1.01%
Idea #2 · OXY · 10% Weekly Drop
Signal Sep 22 close · score 26.55 · revealed after 10 days
-2.43%
5d
+1.86%
+3.09%
-2.43%
1d +1.86% · 2d +3.09%
Idea #3 · FANG · 10% Weekly Drop
Signal Sep 22 close · score 26.55 · revealed after 10 days
-0.30%
5d
+0.62%
+2.44%
-0.30%
1d +0.62% · 2d +2.44%
2026-09-21
Idea #1 · CVS · RSI(14) Oversold
Signal Sep 21 close · score 24.45 · revealed after 10 days
+0.29%
5d
-0.57%
-1.99%
+0.29%
1d -0.57% · 2d -1.99%
Idea #2 · CSX · RSI(14) Oversold
Signal Sep 21 close · score 20.65 · revealed after 10 days
+1.67%
5d
+1.31%
+2.61%
+1.67%
1d +1.31% · 2d +2.61%
Idea #3 · PEP · RSI(14) Oversold
Signal Sep 21 close · score 20.33 · revealed after 10 days
-0.84%
5d
+1.23%
+0.46%
-0.84%
1d +1.23% · 2d +0.46%
2026-09-18
Idea #1 · FRT · RSI(14) Oversold
Signal Sep 18 close · score 24.45 · revealed after 10 days
-0.35%
5d
-0.25%
-0.41%
-0.35%
1d -0.25% · 2d -0.41%
Idea #2 · CVS · RSI(14) Oversold
Signal Sep 18 close · score 24.45 · revealed after 10 days
+0.33%
5d
-1.40%
-1.96%
+0.33%
1d -1.40% · 2d -1.96%
Idea #3 · NFLX · Gap Down Reversal
Signal Sep 18 close · score 21.88 · revealed after 10 days
-0.89%
5d
+2.19%
+0.52%
-0.89%
1d +2.19% · 2d +0.52%
2026-09-17
Idea #1 · FRT · RSI(14) Oversold
Signal Sep 17 close · score 24.45 · revealed after 10 days
-1.26%
5d
-0.76%
-1.01%
-1.26%
1d -0.76% · 2d -1.01%
Idea #2 · ILMN · 52-Week High Breakout
Signal Sep 17 close · score 19.61 · revealed after 10 days
+11.71%
5d
-2.27%
-2.59%
+11.71%
1d -2.27% · 2d -2.59%
Idea #3 · JBHT · 10% Weekly Drop
Signal Sep 17 close · score 18.8 · revealed after 10 days
-3.23%
5d
-1.08%
-0.27%
-3.23%
1d -1.08% · 2d -0.27%
2026-09-16
Idea #1 · JBHT · 10% Weekly Drop
Signal Sep 16 close · score 28.44 · revealed after 10 days
-0.89%
5d
+0.03%
-1.05%
-0.89%
1d +0.03% · 2d -1.05%
Idea #2 · LRCX · 10% Weekly Drop
Signal Sep 16 close · score 26.55 · revealed after 10 days
+14.25%
5d
+0.03%
+7.01%
+14.25%
1d +0.03% · 2d +7.01%
Idea #3 · BKR · 10% Weekly Drop
Signal Sep 16 close · score 25.88 · revealed after 10 days
+3.04%
5d
+0.44%
+1.65%
+3.04%
1d +0.44% · 2d +1.65%
2026-09-15
Idea #1 · WDC · 10% Weekly Drop
Signal Sep 15 close · score 26.55 · revealed after 10 days
+12.78%
5d
+1.22%
+2.89%
+12.78%
1d +1.22% · 2d +2.89%
Idea #2 · BKR · 10% Weekly Drop
Signal Sep 15 close · score 25.88 · revealed after 10 days
+0.95%
5d
-0.70%
-0.26%
+0.95%
1d -0.70% · 2d -0.26%
Idea #3 · SNDK · 10% Weekly Drop
Signal Sep 15 close · score 25.09 · revealed after 10 days
+23.26%
5d
-0.71%
+5.45%
+23.26%
1d -0.71% · 2d +5.45%
2026-09-14
Idea #1 · LRCX · 10% Weekly Drop
Signal Sep 14 close · score 28.94 · revealed after 10 days
+10.53%
5d
-0.96%
-1.56%
+10.53%
1d -0.96% · 2d -1.56%
Idea #2 · SNDK · 10% Weekly Drop
Signal Sep 14 close · score 28.16 · revealed after 10 days
+13.83%
5d
-1.36%
-2.06%
+13.83%
1d -1.36% · 2d -2.06%
Idea #3 · COO · 10% Weekly Drop
Signal Sep 14 close · score 25.88 · revealed after 10 days
-0.18%
5d
-1.75%
+0.72%
-0.18%
1d -1.75% · 2d +0.72%
2026-09-11
Idea #1 · FDS · 10% Weekly Drop
Signal Sep 11 close · score 26.55 · revealed after 10 days
+9.29%
5d
+6.63%
+6.69%
+9.29%
1d +6.63% · 2d +6.69%
Idea #2 · AMGN · 10% Weekly Drop
Signal Sep 11 close · score 26.55 · revealed after 10 days
+2.20%
5d
+1.10%
-0.45%
+2.20%
1d +1.10% · 2d -0.45%
Idea #3 · COO · 10% Weekly Drop
Signal Sep 11 close · score 25.88 · revealed after 10 days
+2.56%
5d
+0.57%
-1.19%
+2.56%
1d +0.57% · 2d -1.19%
2026-09-10
Idea #1 · COO · 10% Weekly Drop
Signal Sep 10 close · score 35.46 · revealed after 10 days
-0.72%
5d
-0.48%
+0.09%
-0.72%
1d -0.48% · 2d +0.09%
Idea #2 · FDS · 10% Weekly Drop
Signal Sep 10 close · score 26.55 · revealed after 10 days
+6.05%
5d
-1.23%
+5.33%
+6.05%
1d -1.23% · 2d +5.33%
Idea #3 · AMGN · 10% Weekly Drop
Signal Sep 10 close · score 26.55 · revealed after 10 days
-0.70%
5d
-1.34%
-0.25%
-0.70%
1d -1.34% · 2d -0.25%
2026-09-09
Idea #1 · CASY · 10% Weekly Drop
Signal Sep 9 close · score 39.11 · revealed after 10 days
-6.36%
5d
-0.22%
-2.16%
-6.36%
1d -0.22% · 2d -2.16%
Idea #2 · DASH · 10% Weekly Drop
Signal Sep 9 close · score 30.2 · revealed after 10 days
-0.25%
5d
+1.92%
+2.38%
-0.25%
1d +1.92% · 2d +2.38%
Idea #3 · EXPE · 10% Weekly Drop
Signal Sep 9 close · score 26.55 · revealed after 10 days
+5.27%
5d
+1.57%
+3.02%
+5.27%
1d +1.57% · 2d +3.02%
2026-09-08
Idea #1 · EXPE · 10% Weekly Drop
Signal Sep 8 close · score 26.55 · revealed after 10 days
+6.75%
5d
-0.71%
+0.85%
+6.75%
1d -0.71% · 2d +0.85%
Idea #2 · DASH · 10% Weekly Drop
Signal Sep 8 close · score 26.55 · revealed after 10 days
-1.09%
5d
-1.59%
+0.29%
-1.09%
1d -1.59% · 2d +0.29%
Idea #3 · HWM · RSI(14) Oversold
Signal Sep 8 close · score 26.33 · revealed after 10 days
-2.96%
5d
+0.47%
-1.56%
-2.96%
1d +0.47% · 2d -1.56%
2026-09-04
Idea #1 · FICO · 10% Weekly Drop
Signal Sep 4 close · score 32.08 · revealed after 10 days
+7.43%
5d
+0.11%
+5.46%
+7.43%
1d +0.11% · 2d +5.46%
Idea #2 · LULU · 10% Weekly Drop
Signal Sep 4 close · score 28.38 · revealed after 10 days
-0.31%
5d
+2.56%
-0.89%
-0.31%
1d +2.56% · 2d -0.89%
Idea #3 · DASH · 10% Weekly Drop
Signal Sep 4 close · score 21.23 · revealed after 10 days
-3.87%
5d
-5.33%
-6.84%
-3.87%
1d -5.33% · 2d -6.84%
2026-09-03
Idea #1 · TSN · RSI(14) Oversold
Signal Sep 3 close · score 22.87 · revealed after 10 days
+2.36%
5d
-0.66%
+1.00%
+2.36%
1d -0.66% · 2d +1.00%
Idea #2 · CIEN · 10% Weekly Drop
Signal Sep 3 close · score 22.26 · revealed after 10 days
+10.11%
5d
+1.11%
+7.51%
+10.11%
1d +1.11% · 2d +7.51%
Idea #3 · PFG · Unusual Volume Up Day
Signal Sep 3 close · score 21.59 · revealed after 10 days
-1.98%
5d
-1.54%
-2.93%
-1.98%
1d -1.54% · 2d -2.93%
2026-09-02
Idea #1 · PCG · 10% Weekly Drop
Signal Sep 2 close · score 29.52 · revealed after 10 days
+5.25%
5d
+4.73%
+7.28%
+5.25%
1d +4.73% · 2d +7.28%
Idea #2 · AXON · 10% Weekly Drop
Signal Sep 2 close · score 26.55 · revealed after 10 days
-5.55%
5d
+6.15%
+1.71%
-5.55%
1d +6.15% · 2d +1.71%
Idea #3 · EIX · 10% Weekly Drop
Signal Sep 2 close · score 25.88 · revealed after 10 days
+2.83%
5d
+2.01%
+2.86%
+2.83%
1d +2.01% · 2d +2.86%
2026-09-01
Idea #1 · PCG · 10% Weekly Drop
Signal Sep 1 close · score 31.5 · revealed after 10 days
+0.92%
5d
-5.19%
-0.71%
+0.92%
1d -5.19% · 2d -0.71%
Idea #2 · MRVL · 10% Weekly Drop
Signal Sep 1 close · score 28.16 · revealed after 10 days
+11.70%
5d
-1.86%
-0.74%
+11.70%
1d -1.86% · 2d -0.74%
Idea #3 · PYPL · 10% Weekly Drop
Signal Sep 1 close · score 26.55 · revealed after 10 days
-0.19%
5d
+4.33%
+8.43%
-0.19%
1d +4.33% · 2d +8.43%
See the long-run stats for every screen on the leaderboard and the track record plan. Past or simulated performance does not predict future results.